Pollster Mussa Dankwah has indicated that support for the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP) is declining, while the ruling National Democratic Congress (NDC) is gaining ground, according to ongoing tracking polls for March 2026.

In a Facebook post, he said: “Ongoing face-to-face tracking poll for March 2026 shows NPP continues to decline in party affiliations.”

Mr Dankwah noted that prior to the 2024 general election, the NPP held a slight edge in party identification. “Prior to the 2024 elections, NPP was 37% and NDC, 33%,” he said.

However, the latest data points to a marked shift in voter alignment. “Currently, only 25% of voters openly associate themselves with NPP compared to 46% for the NDC,” he stated.

He added that the gap appears even more pronounced in key battleground regions. “The situation is even worse in the swing regions (Greater Accra, Central, and Western) where only 22% say they are NPP compared to 58% for the NDC,” he said.

According to Mr Dankwah, recent political developments may have contributed to the trend. 

“In the aftermath of NPP primaries, cocoa price brouhaha, etc., the political environment still appears hostile for the opposition party,” he added.

The findings underscore growing challenges for the NPP as it seeks to rebuild support following the 2024 elections, particularly in swing regions that have historically played a decisive role in determining electoral outcomes.